In Chance, celebrated mathematician Amir D. Aczel turns his sights on probability theory—the branch of mathematics that measures the likelihood of a. Elissa Schappell reviews book Chance: A Guide to Gambling, Love, the Stock Market and Just About Everything Else by Amir D Aczel; drawing. Are you a betting person? Here’s how to calculate the odds.
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What is the probability of intelligent life in the universe? Shopbop Designer Fashion Brands. Chance defines our life. There are a few jumps to conclusions, particularly in the calculation of the final probability where I would have like to see more explanation, but in general, it is well done and a fun read.
In chace oversimplified terms, a rational analysis of “is there life elsewhere? This is Amir Aczel’s theorem. Amazon Inspire Digital Educational Resources. Will you get the job, the lover, and the money? In one long trial of coin flips, the number of heads stayed above the number of tails for nearly three thousand turns; in the very long run, it did even out, but gamblers relying on a split would have been bankrupted long before the law of averages came to their rescue.
Probability 1, Amir D. Aczel Ph.D. –
Read more Read less. The background factual science content is accurate, and engagingly written at the lighter end of the popular science spectrum, though the topics will be mostly familiar to readers of popular science. Read, highlight, acael take notes, across web, tablet, and phone. I tried to find information regarding the inspection paradox which underlies his basic argument, but I found that a deeper understanding of probability and higher math is probably required to comprehend it.
Aczel also provides an overview of the relevant developments in astronomy and biology–laying the groundwork to show that the universe’s chemistry must add up to life. I also found the sheer obviousness of his mathematical proof kind of startling.
Then there is a logical dichotomy: Here’s how to calculate the odds. Amazon Advertising Find, zmir, and engage customers. Enabled Amazon Best Sellers Rank: Amazon Restaurants Food delivery from local restaurants. This page was last edited on 17 Decemberat Share your thoughts with other customers.
Top Reviews Most recent Top Reviews. If it weren’t for the fact that this book made me actually azcel, it would merit a much lower rating. Read akir book, and you’ll be convinced, by the power of the argument and the excitement of the science. Although, in his calculation of the probability of life in the universe would not be affected greatly even by a significant change in this number, I’m wondering how a statistician can use a probability based on a sample size of 9.
Each week, our editors select the one author and one book they believe to be most worthy of your attention vhance highlight them in our Pro Connect email alert. Thus, I can’t actually cast aside his argument as previous reviewers have. Although the author dedicates a number of pages discussing issues and ideas peripheral to the central theme, he does present some thought-provoking material. I thoroughly enjoyed reading this book.
For thousands of years, it was the visionaries and writers who argued that we cannot be alone-that there is intellegent life in the universe. Amir Aczel takes the reader through a combination of Math, Biology, Statistics, Physics, Chemistry and History to “prove” mathematically that there must be life beyond Earth. The reason why I gave this book a 4-star rating as opposed to the previous reviews is that the book was genuinely thought-provoking.
Product details File Size: Now Amir Aczel, in this slim book modeled on his very successful Fermat’s Last Theorem, gives readers the tools to minimize, or maximize, chance’s effect on their lives.
Probability 1 is an extraordinary tour de force in which the author draws on cosmology, math, and biology to tell the rollicking good story of scientists tackling important scientific questions that help answer this fundamental question.